Links to my Google Scholar, Research Gate, ORCID, ResearcherID, UTAS Staff Profile pages

Peer-reviewed publications

Accepted, Vasile, R., K. Hartmann, A. J. Hobday, E. C. J. Oliver and S. Tracey, Evaluation of hydrodynamic ocean models as a first step in larval dispersal modelling, Continental Shelf Research.

Accepted, Oliver, E. C. J., S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, N. J. Holbrook and N. L. Bindoff, Anthropogenic and natural influences on record 2016 marine heatwaves, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. pdf

2017, Oliver, E. C. J., J. A. Benthuysen, N. L. Bindoff, A. J. Hobday, N. J. Holbrook, C. N. Mundy and S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, The unprecedented 2015/16 Tasman Sea marine heatwave, Nature Communications, 8, 16101, doi: doi:10.1038/ncomms16101. pdf

2017, Schlegel, R. W., E. C. J. Oliver, T. Wernberg and A. J. Smit, Nearshore and offshore co-occurrence of marine heatwaves and cold-spells, Progress in Oceanography, 151, pp. 189-205, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2017.01.004. pdf

2016, Wahiduzzaman, M., E. C. J. Oliver, S. J. Wotherspoon and N. J. Holbrook, A climatological model of North Indian Ocean tropical cyclone genesis, tracks and landfall, Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3461-4. pdf

2016, Oliver, E. C. J., M. Herzfeld and N. J. Holbrook, Modelling the shelf circulation off eastern Tasmania, Continental Shelf Research, 130, pp. 14-33, doi: 10.1016/j.csr.2016.10.005. pdf   supp. mat.

2016, Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E. et al. (incl. E. C. J. Oliver), Natural hazards in Australia: heatwaves, Climatic Change, 139 (1), pp. 101-114, doi: 10.1007/s10584-016-1650-0. pdf

2016, McKinnes, K. et al. (incl. E. C. J. Oliver), Natural hazards in Australia: sea level and coastal extremes, Climatic Change, 139 (1), pp. 69-83, doi: 10.1007/s10584-016-1647-8. pdf

2016, Oliver, E. C. J., Blind use of reanalysis data: Apparent trends in Madden-Julian Oscillation activity driven by observational changes, International Journal of Climatology, 36, pp. 3458-3468, doi: 10.1002/joc.4568. pdf   more info

2016, Klotzbach, P. J., E. C. J. Oliver, R. Leeper and C. J. Schreck III, The relationship between the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and southeastern New England snowfall, Monthly Weather Review, 144, pp. 1355-1362, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-15-0434.1. pdf   more info

2016, Hobday, A. J. et al. (incl. E. C. J. Oliver), A hierarchical approach to defining marine heatwaves, Progress in Oceanography, 141, pp. 227-238, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2015.12.014. pdf   more info

2016, Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson, Predictability of the Madden Julian Oscillation index: Seasonality and dependence on MJO phase, Climate Dynamics, 46, pp. 159-176, doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2576-3. pdf   more info

2015, Oliver, E. C. J., T.J. O'Kane and N. J. Holbrook, Projected changes to Tasman Sea eddies in a future climate, Journal of Geophysical Research, 120, pp. 7150-7165, doi: 10.1002/2015JC010993. pdf   supp. mat.   more info

2015, Klotzbach, P. K. and E. C. J. Oliver, Variations in Global Tropical Cyclone Activity and the Madden-Julian Oscillation Since the Mid-20th Century, Geophysical Research Letters, 42, pp. 4199-4207, doi: 10.1002/2015GL063966. pdf   more info

2015, Klotzbach, P. K. and E. C. J. Oliver, Modulation of Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity by the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) from 1905-2011, Journal of Climate, 28, pp. 204-217, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00509.1. pdf   more info

2015, Oliver, E. C. J. Multidecadal variations in the modulation of Alaska wintertime air temperature by the Madden-Julian Oscillation, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 121, pp. 1-11, doi: 10.1007/s00704-014-1215-y. pdf   more info

2014, O'Kane, T. J., R. J. Matear, M. A. Chamberlain, E. C. J. Oliver, and N. J. Holbrook, Storm tracks in the Southern Hemisphere subtropical oceans, Journal of Geophysical Research, 119, pp. 6078-6100, doi: 10.1002/2014JC009990. pdf (supplemental figures pdf)

2014, Oliver, E. C. J. and N. J. Holbrook, Extending our understanding of South Pacific gyre 'spin-up': Modeling the East Australian Current in a future climate, Journal of Geophysical Research, 119, pp. 2788-2805, doi: 10.1002/2013JC009591. pdf   more info

2014, Oliver, E. C. J., S. J. Wotherspoon, M. A. Chamberlain and N. J. Holbrook, Projected Tasman Sea extremes in sea surface temperature through the 21st century, Journal of Climate, 27 (5), pp. 1980-1998, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00259.1. pdf   more info

2014, Oliver, E. C. J., S. J. Wotherspoon and N. J. Holbrook, Estimating extremes from global ocean and climate models: A Bayesian hierarchical model approach, Progress in Oceanography, 122, pp. 77-91, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2013.12.004. pdf   more info

2014, Oliver, E. C. J. and N. J. Holbrook, A statistical method for improving continental shelf and nearshore marine climate predictions, Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 31, pp. 216-232, doi: 10.1175/JTECH-D-13-00052.1. pdf   OH14 downscaled SST data

2014, Oliver, E. C. J., Intraseasonal variability of sea level and circulation in the Gulf of Thailand: The role of the Madden-Julian Oscillation, Climate Dynamics, 42 (1-2), pp. 401-416, doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1595-6. pdf   more info

2012, Oliver, E. C. J., J. Sheng, K. R. Thompson, and J. R. Urrego-Blanco, Extreme Surface and Near-Bottom Currents in the Northwest Atlantic, Natural Hazards, 64 (2), pp. 1425-1446, doi: 10.1007/s11069-012-0303-5. pdf   more info

2012, Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson, A Reconstruction of Madden-Julian Oscillation Variability from 1905 to 2008, Journal of Climate, 25 (6), pp. 1996-2019, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00154.1. pdf   download reconstructed MJO index

2011, Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson, Sea level and circulation variability of the Gulf of Carpentaria: Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and the adjacent deep ocean, Journal Geophysical Research, 116, C02019, doi:10.1029/2010JC006596. pdf   more info

2010, Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson, Madden-Julian Oscillation and sea level: Local and remote forcing, Journal Geophysical Research, 115, C01003, doi:10.1029/2009JC005337. pdf   more info

Non peer-reviewed or unpublished works

2017, Harris, T., P. Hope, E. C. J. Oliver, R. Smalley, J. Arblaster, N. J. Holbrook, K. Pearce, K. Braganza and N. Bindoff, Climate drivers of the 2015 Gulf of Carpentaria mangrove dieback, Earth Systems and Climate Change Hub Technical Report No. 1, NESP Earth Systems and Climate Change Hub, Australia. pdf

2014, Oliver, E. C. J., An evaluation of Australian continental shelf sea surface temperature estimates from Bluelink ReANalysis, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies (IMAS) Technical Report, 2014/02. pdf

2012, Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson, Impact of the MJO on the Gulf of Carpentaria during the monsoon, Sixth CAWCR Workshop on Understanding and Prediction of Monsoon Weather and Climate, November 2012 (extended abstract). pdf

2006, Oliver, E. C. J. and G. W. Slater, A Theoretical and Molecular Dynamics Study of Mixing in Microchannels with Obstacles. pdf

2006, Oliver, E. C. J. and G. W. Slater, Forced Rotational Motion of Fluid in a Cavity: A Molecular Dynamics Study. pdf

Theses

2011, Ph.D. Thesis, Local and Remote Forcing of the Ocean by the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its Predictability. pdf

2006, M.Sc. Thesis, Spinning and Mixing: Two Studies of Microfluidic Problems Using Molecular Dynamics Simulations. pdf

2004, B.Sc. Honours Thesis, Optical Bistability and Soliton Switching in an Optical Ring Cavity. pdf

Datasets

2017, Oliver, E. C. J., M. Herzfeld and N. J. Holbrook, ETAS Ocean Model Version 2 - Daily Snapshots and Monthly means, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania. Daily snapshots: http://metadata.imas.utas.edu.au/geonetwork/srv/eng/metadata.show?uuid=47450e8b-da02-463d-aca4-f00b2077bd56, Monthly means: http://data.imas.utas.edu.au/portal/search?uuid=43dee465-0bc1-4f5a-b855-4cab14eaa9f1. Daily snapshots on the IMAS data portal   Monthly means on the IMAS data portal

2017, Oliver, E. C. J., V. Lago, N. J. Holbrook, S. D. Ling, C. N. Mundy, A. J. Hobday, Eastern Tasmania Marine Heatwave Atlas, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania. doi: 10.4226/77/587e97d9b2bf9. http://metadata.imas.utas.edu.au/geonetwork/srv/eng/metadata.show?uuid=20188863-0af6-4032-98f8-def671cdaa58. data   pdf   IMAS Data Portal

2014, Oliver, E. C. J. and N. J. Holbrook, Statistically downscaled Australian continental shelf sea surface temperatures, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania. doi: 10.4226/77/57213b25e2204. http://metadata.imas.utas.edu.au/geonetwork/srv/eng/metadata.show?uuid=0bded71d-a3c3-40b9-b92f-82689b913c7b. IMAS Data Portal

Selected presentations

2017, Extreme marine heatwave off southeastern Australia in austral summer 2015-2016, Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) National Conference 2017, Canberra ACT, Australia, February 2017 pdf

2017, Marine heatwaves off Eastern Tasmania, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies (IMAS) Seminar (University of Tasmania), Hobart TAS, Australia, March 2017 pdf

2016, Identifying historical marine heatwaves off eastern Tasmania with a regional ocean model, Australian Coastal and Oceans Modelling and Observations Workshop (ACOMO) 2016, Canberra ACT, Australia, October 2016 pdf   notes

2016, Extreme marine heatwave off southeastern Australia in austral summer 2015-2016, ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science (ARCCSS) Variability RP Meeting, Hobart TAS, Australia, July, 2016 pdf

2016, Marine heatwaves: Global distribution, long-term trends, case studies off southeast Australia, Dalhousie University Department of Oceanography Seminar, Halifax NS, Canada, June 2016 pdf

2016, A reconstruction of Madden-Julian Oscillation variability and global impacts from 1905 to 2011, Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) National Conference 2016, Melbourne VIC, Australia, February 2016 pdf

2016, Circulation on the eastern Tasmanian continental shelf: The mean state and seasonal cycle, Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) National Conference 2016, Melbourne VIC, Australia, February 2016 pdf

2015, Predictability of the Madden-Julian Oscillation index: Seasonality and phase-dependence, ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science (ARCCSS) Maritime Continent Workshop, Melbourne VIC, Australia, November 2015 pdf

2015, Multidecadal variations in the modulation of high-latitude temperatures by the Madden-Julian Oscillation, ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science (ARCCSS) Variability Workshop, Melbourne VIC, Australia, November 2015 pdf

2015, Projected change in Tasman Sea marine climate, extremes, circulation and eddies in a future climate, 11th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography, Santiago, Chile, October 2015 pdf

2015, A framework for defining marine heatwaves, Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science (COECSS) Australian Heat Waves Workshop, University of New South Wales Climate Change Research Centre, Sydney NSW, Australia, September 2015 pdf

2014, From ocean to coast: Past and future marine climate changes off southeast Australia, Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science (COECSS) 2014 Workshop, Pokolbin NSW, Australia, November 2014 (poster) pdf png

2014, Improving estimates of extremes from global ocean and climate models and assigning confidence to future projections, Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science (COECSS) Detection and Attribution Workshop, Hobart TAS, Australia, October 2014 pdf

2014, From ocean to coast: Past and future marine climate changes off southeast Australia, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies (IMAS) Seminar (University of Tasmania), Hobart TAS, Australia, October 2014 pdf

2014, Predicting the changing marine climate, circulation and extremes off southeastern Australia into the 21st century, University of New South Wales Climate Change Research Centre Seminar, Sydney, NSW, Australia, May 2014 pdf

2014, Marine Heat Waves: A general overview and case studies in the Mediterranean and around Australia, Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science (COECSS) Australian Heat Waves Workshop 2014, UNSW Climate Change Research Centre, Sydney, NSW, Australia, May 2014 pdf

2014, Estimating extremes from global ocean and climate models: A Bayesian hierarchical model approach, Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) National Conference 2014, Hobart, TAS, Australia, February 2014 (poster) pdf png

2014, The Madden-Julian Oscillation and Gulf of Thailand sea level and circulation variability, Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) National Conference 2014, Hobart, TAS, Australia, February 2014 pdf

2014, A damped harmonic oscillator model for the Madden-Julian Oscillation, Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) National Conference 2014, Hobart, TAS, Australia, February 2014 (poster) pdf png

2013, Projected changes in Tasman Sea marine climate, extremes, and circulation through the 21st century, Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science Workshop 2013, Lorne, VIC, Australia, November 2013 (poster) pdf jpg

2013, A statistical method for improving continental shelf and near-shore marine climate predictions, Joint Assembly IAHS-IAPSO-IAPSEI 2013, Gothenburg, Sweden, July 2013 (poster) pdf

2013, Predicting the changing marine climate and extremes off southeastern Australia into the 21st century, Department of Geography Friday Forum (University of Tasmania), Hobart, TAS, Australia, May 2013 ppt

2012, Impact of the MJO on the Gulf of Carpentaria during the Monsoon, Sixth Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research (CAWCR) Workshop, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, October 2012 pdf

2012, Local and Remote Forcing of the Ocean by the Madden-Julian Oscillation, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research (Bureau of Meteorology) Seminar, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, July 2012 pdf

2011, Extreme Surface and Near-Bottom Current Speeds in the Northwest Atlantic, Physical Oceanography and Meteorology Seminar Series (Dalhousie University), Halifax, NS, Canada, December 2011 pdf

2011, The Madden-Julian Oscillation: A 100-year reconstruction and a discussion of predictability based on a stochastically forced damped oscillator model, CMOS 2011 Congress, Victoria, BC, Canada, June 2011 pdf

2010, A Reconstructed Historical MJO Index from 1905 to 2008, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, USA, December 2010 (poster) pdf jpg

2010, The Madden-Julian Oscillation and the Global Ocean: Local and Remote Forcing, Monsoon Intraseasonal Variability Modelling Workshop, Busan, South Korea, June 2010 (poster) pdf jpg

2010, Expressions of the Madden-Julian Oscillation in the Coastal Ocean: The Gulf of Carpentaria, CMOS 2010 Congress, Ottawa, ON, Canada, June 2010 pdf